Storm Station

Live/Storms/Hurricane Isaias

Hurricane Isaias

Hurricane Isaias has 80 mph winds and a pressure of 979 mb, centred near 23.3N 91.2W, moving toward the east-northeast at 9 mph, as of October 8, 09:00 UTC. Forecast to reach 110 mph, category 2 hurricane, by October 9, 06:00 UTC.

Chart of Hurricane Isaias: the track taken, the forecast track and the reach of its winds now110W105W100W95W90W85W80W75W70W20N25N30N35N40NGulf of AmericaBay of CampecheHurricane Isaias: tropical storm force winds, 39 mph or more, as far as they reach in each quadrant nowHurricane Isaias: winds of 58 mph or more, as far as they reach in each quadrant nowHurricane Isaias: hurricane force winds, 74 mph or more, as far as they reach in each quadrant nowOctober 6, 18:00 UTC, 22.1N 95.8WOctober 6, 21:00 UTC, 22.1N 95.6W, 35 mphOctober 7, 00:00 UTC, 22.0N 95.4WOctober 7, 03:00 UTC, 22.1N 95.0W, 35 mphOctober 7, 06:00 UTC, 21.8N 94.5WOctober 7, 09:00 UTC, 22.0N 94.1W, 40 mphOctober 7, 12:00 UTC, 22.0N 93.9WOctober 7, 15:00 UTC, 22.4N 93.6W, 45 mphOctober 7, 18:00 UTC, 22.5N 93.3WOctober 7, 21:00 UTC, 22.7N 92.9W, 65 mphOctober 8, 00:00 UTC, 22.7N 92.3WOctober 8, 03:00 UTC, 22.9N 91.9W, 70 mphOctober 8, 06:00 UTC, 23.1N 91.6WOctober 8, 09:00 UTC, 23.3N 91.2W, 80 mphForecast for October 8, 18:00 UTC: 24.2N 90.0W, 100 mph, category 2 hurricaneThu 18:00, 100 mphForecast for October 9, 06:00 UTC: 25.9N 88.6W, 110 mph, category 2 hurricaneFri 06:00, 110 mphForecast for October 9, 18:00 UTC: 28.4N 87.6W, 105 mph, category 2 hurricaneFri 18:00, 105 mphForecast for October 10, 06:00 UTC: 31.0N 87.6W, 65 mph, tropical storm, inlandSat 06:00, 65 mphForecast for October 10, 18:00 UTC: 33.7N 88.5W, 35 mph, tropical depression, post-trop and inlandSat 18:00, 35 mphForecast for October 11, 06:00 UTC: 36.0N 88.7W, 30 mph, tropical depression, post-trop and inlandSun 06:00, 30 mphIsaias
The track taken from its advisories, the forecast track to five days and the reach of its winds now, from advisory 7 of October 8, 09:00 UTC. Times are UTC.
Chart of Hurricane Isaias: the track taken, the forecast track and the reach of its winds now100W95W90W85W20N25N30N35NGulf of AmericaBay of CampecheHurricane Isaias: tropical storm force winds, 39 mph or more, as far as they reach in each quadrant nowHurricane Isaias: winds of 58 mph or more, as far as they reach in each quadrant nowHurricane Isaias: hurricane force winds, 74 mph or more, as far as they reach in each quadrant nowOctober 6, 18:00 UTC, 22.1N 95.8WOctober 6, 21:00 UTC, 22.1N 95.6W, 35 mphOctober 7, 00:00 UTC, 22.0N 95.4WOctober 7, 03:00 UTC, 22.1N 95.0W, 35 mphOctober 7, 06:00 UTC, 21.8N 94.5WOctober 7, 09:00 UTC, 22.0N 94.1W, 40 mphOctober 7, 12:00 UTC, 22.0N 93.9WOctober 7, 15:00 UTC, 22.4N 93.6W, 45 mphOctober 7, 18:00 UTC, 22.5N 93.3WOctober 7, 21:00 UTC, 22.7N 92.9W, 65 mphOctober 8, 00:00 UTC, 22.7N 92.3WOctober 8, 03:00 UTC, 22.9N 91.9W, 70 mphOctober 8, 06:00 UTC, 23.1N 91.6WOctober 8, 09:00 UTC, 23.3N 91.2W, 80 mphForecast for October 8, 18:00 UTC: 24.2N 90.0W, 100 mph, category 2 hurricaneThu 18:00, 100 mphForecast for October 9, 06:00 UTC: 25.9N 88.6W, 110 mph, category 2 hurricaneFri 06:00, 110 mphForecast for October 9, 18:00 UTC: 28.4N 87.6W, 105 mph, category 2 hurricaneFri 18:00, 105 mphForecast for October 10, 06:00 UTC: 31.0N 87.6W, 65 mph, tropical storm, inlandSat 06:00, 65 mphForecast for October 10, 18:00 UTC: 33.7N 88.5W, 35 mph, tropical depression, post-trop and inlandSat 18:00, 35 mphForecast for October 11, 06:00 UTC: 36.0N 88.7W, 30 mph, tropical depression, post-trop and inlandSun 06:00, 30 mphIsaias
The track taken from its advisories, the forecast track to five days and the reach of its winds now, from advisory 7 of October 8, 09:00 UTC. Times are UTC.
  • Depression, under 39 mph
  • Tropical storm, 39 to 73 mph
  • Category 1, 74 to 95
  • Category 2, 96 to 110
  • Category 3, 111 to 129
  • Category 4, 130 to 156
  • Category 5, 157 or more
  • Track taken
  • Forecast track
  • Tropical storm force winds now
  • Hurricane force winds now
Strength
Category 1 hurricane
Winds
80 mph, gusts 100 mph
Pressure
979 mb, 28.91 inHg
Moving
Toward the east-northeast at 9 mph
Centre
23.3N 91.2W, within 35 miles
Tropical storm force winds reach
90 miles from the centre
Hurricane force winds reach
15 miles from the centre
Advisory
Number 7, October 8, 09:00 UTC
Next advisory
October 8, 15:00 UTC

Watches and warnings

  • A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for

    • Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Steinhatchee River, FL
  • A Hurricane Warning is in effect for

    • Ocean Springs, MS to the Bay/Gulf County Line, FL
  • A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for

    • Jefferson/Plaquemines Parish Line, LA to west of Ocean Springs, MS
    • East of Bay/Gulf County Line to Aucilla River, FL
  • A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for

    • Steinhatchee River to Yankeetown, FL

In the hurricane center's words, from its public advisory of October 8, 08:54 UTC. Every watch and warning in force, county by county: Alerts in force.

The forecast

The forecast of advisory 7, October 8, 09:00 UTC. Winds are the strongest sustained, in mph.
ValidCentreWindsStrengthNote
October 8, 18:00 UTC24.2N 90.0W100 mphCategory 2 hurricane-
October 9, 06:00 UTC25.9N 88.6W110 mphCategory 2 hurricane-
October 9, 18:00 UTC28.4N 87.6W105 mphCategory 2 hurricane-
October 10, 06:00 UTC31.0N 87.6W65 mphTropical stormInland
October 10, 18:00 UTC33.7N 88.5W35 mphTropical depressionPost-Trop, Inland
October 11, 06:00 UTC36.0N 88.7W30 mphTropical depressionPost-Trop, Inland
October 12, 06:00 UTCDissipated

The forecast track is the most likely path of the centre. A storm's effects reach far beyond its centre, and the centre itself stays inside the track only about two times in three.