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Forecast map / Forecast, each 12 hours

Chance of rain forecast map

Over Citizen station K5BWX-7, Tennessee, where the map opens. The whole country

The chance of rain or snow in each 12 hours, day and night, for seven days: when to expect it, and how surely. How to read it.

Chance of rain on the map

AlaskaAKAlabamaALArkansasARArizonaAZCaliforniaCAColoradoCOConnecticutCTDistrict of ColumbiaDCDelawareDEFloridaFLGeorgiaGAHawaiiHIIowaIAIdahoIDIllinoisILIndianaINKansasKSKentuckyKYLouisianaLAMassachusettsMAMarylandMDMaineMEMichiganMIMinnesotaMNMissouriMOMississippiMSMontanaMTNorth CarolinaNCNorth DakotaNDNebraskaNENew HampshireNHNew JerseyNJNew MexicoNMNevadaNVNew YorkNYOhioOHOklahomaOKOregonORPennsylvaniaPARhode IslandRISouth CarolinaSCSouth DakotaSDTennesseeTNTexasTXUtahUTVirginiaVAVermontVTWashingtonWAWisconsinWIWest VirginiaWVWyomingWYPuerto RicoPRSuperiorMichiganHuronErieAmericaPACIFIC OCEANATLANTIC OCEANGULF OF AMERICANome County, AK: High Wind WatchNorth Slope County, AK: High Wind WatchDenali County, AK: High Wind WatchSoutheast Fairbanks County, AK: High Wind WatchClay County, FL: Flood WatchDuval County, FL: Flood WatchFlagler County, FL: Flood WatchNassau County, FL: Flood WatchPutnam County, FL: Flood WatchSaint Johns County, FL: Flood WatchCamden County, GA: Flood WatchAleutians West County, AK: High Wind Warning, High Wind WatchAndroscoggin County, ME: Freeze WarningCumberland County, ME: Freeze WarningFranklin County, MA: Freeze WarningHampshire County, MA: Freeze WarningSaratoga County, NY: Freeze WarningWarren County, NY: Freeze WarningWashington County, NY: Freeze WarningLa Paz County, AZ: Extreme Heat WarningYuma County, AZ: Extreme Heat WarningImperial County, CA: Extreme Heat WarningRiverside County, CA: Extreme Heat WarningSan Diego County, CA: Extreme Heat WarningSan Bernardino County, CA: Extreme Heat WarningOrange County, CA: Extreme Heat WarningSanta Barbara County, CA: Extreme Heat WarningVentura County, CA: Extreme Heat WarningLos Angeles County, CA: Extreme Heat WarningInyo County, CA: Extreme Heat WarningFlood Warning until Oct 7, 8:15 AM EDTFlood Warning until Oct 7, 11:00 AM EDTFlood Warning until Oct 8, 3:00 PM CDTFlood Warning until Oct 8, 9:00 PM CDTFlood Warning until Oct 9, 12:00 AM CDTFlood Warning until Oct 9, 6:00 AM CDTFlood Warning until Oct 10, 2:08 AM CDTFlood Warning until Oct 13, 5:00 AM CDT

What the chance of rain map shows

The chance of at least 0.01 inch of rain or melted snow in each 12 hours, day and night, for seven days. A 70% chance means rain falls at that place on seven of ten days forecast like it.

How to read it

Under 20%
Rain unlikely.
20 to 40%
A slight chance; a shower here and there.
40 to 60%
A fair chance.
60 to 80%
Rain likely.
Over 80%
Rain nearly certain.

What it is for

  • Pick the dry days of the week.
  • See a storm system’s timing across the country.
  • Read with the rain amount: a high chance of a little rain is not a storm.

How it is made

The forecast maps are drawn from the national blend of the forecast models: the models joined into one forecast and corrected against what each place has measured, on a grid 1.6 miles across, the forecast the country’s forecasters start from. Each of its main runs, four a day, is read whole, laid onto the same grid of latitude and longitude as the radar at 2.8 miles a cell, and played forward from now.

A frame every 12 hours for 7 days, played as a loop of 3 or 7 days. As data: /radar/now.json?show=fpop, the times of its frames.

Beside it

Forecast amount

Rain, 6 hours

For

How much rain will fall in each 6 hours, in inches, snow as its water: the bands of rain crossing storm by storm.

.0112 in

Open the map

Forecast total

Rain total

For

All the rain forecast from now to each frame, in inches: the week’s rain adding up, and where it builds highest.

.0112 in

Open the map

Forecast, each 12 hours

Thunder

For

The chance of a thunderstorm in each 12 hours for seven days: where storms are likely, before any radar sees them.

080%

Open the map